LeicesterPremier LeagueAston Villa

Aston Villa face Leicester in the 15th round of the Premier League. The Villans played a good game against Manchester City, but lost 2:1. The Citizens scored both goals before the break, but in the second half Aston Villa picked up speed and had their chances to achieve at least a draw. Despite the loss, the Villas maintain a good distance to the middle of the standings and are only three points behind Leicester.

The "Foxes" conceded two goals for the second consecutive game, but unlike the match with Watford, this time they did not win. Southampton and Leicester shared a point after a 2:2 draw, which was a fair result compared to what was shown by both teams. Jamie Vardy and Harvey Barnes could still score three points for the Foxes, but missed good chances in the middle of the second half.

In the three games under the management Steven Gerrard, Aston Villa bet on more basic football, which eventually paid off. Six points won against tough opponents such as Brighton and Crystal Palace hint at the potential of the Villans. If Leicester continues with the outrageous performance in defense, there will be serious problems on Sunday and at least in my opinion the hosts are the favorites for the three points. However, betting on the FT result seems too risky to me, so I will turn to an alternative.

In their last three games, Aston Villa had fewer corners against each opponent (5 against 7 for Brighton, 3 against 7 for Crystal Palace and 4 against 11 for Manchester City). In other words, The Villans played an average of just four corners at the expense of just over 5 averages per game when Dean Smith was in the lead. This is somewhat normal, as Aston Villa had almost no possession in those games, while before they relied more on gradual attacks at the expense of speed. It is very likely that the same thing will happen on Sunday and Leicester will play more with the ball.

In any case, so far in four of its seven away games, Leicester has taken more corners than the opponent. The odds of this happening again seem to be quite high (2.50) compared to what Aston Villa has shown in the last three rounds and definitely gives good value. To improve my chances of winning, I recommend the Asian Handicap Market with a +0.5 line in favor of Leicester. Thus, even if both teams have the same number of corner kicks in the match, our bet will be winning.